A new population model for urban infestations
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Other documents of the author: Calatayud, Julia; Jornet, Marc; Mateu, Jorge; Pinto, Carla M. A.
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Show full item recordcomunitat-uji-handle:10234/9
comunitat-uji-handle2:10234/7037
comunitat-uji-handle3:10234/8635
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INVESTIGACIONMetadata
Title
A new population model for urban infestationsDate
2023-10-10Publisher
ElsevierISSN
0960-0779Bibliographic citation
Julia Calatayud, Marc Jornet, Jorge Mateu, Carla M.A. Pinto, A new population model for urban infestations, Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Volume 175, Part 1, 2023, 113939.Type
info:eu-repo/semantics/articleVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionSubject
Cockroaches and rats sightings | Continuous dynamical system | Ecological modeling | Parameter estimation | Differential equations | Dynamical system | Health risks | Parameter estimation | Uncertainty analysis | Ecological modeling | Environmental threats | Health economics | Intervention strategy | Parameters estimation | Population model | Social and environmental
Abstract
The spread of rodents and insects in cities, in particular in summer periods, poses significant health, economic, social and environmental threats. The analysis of incidence and identification of seasonal and weather ... [+]
The spread of rodents and insects in cities, in particular in summer periods, poses significant health, economic, social and environmental threats. The analysis of incidence and identification of seasonal and weather determinants are crucial for addressing intervention strategies. In this context, we investigate the occurrence of rats and cockroaches infestations in the city of Madrid, Spain, with differential equation models. Birth–death fluxes, sine–cosine waves and temperature conform the mechanistic nature of the models. Available data on citizen-reported sightings from 2010 until 2013 are fitted by parameter calibration and uncertain-error measurement. Numerical simulations show that the time series are adequately explained by the proposed models. This strongly suggests that the models can be used to predict future infestation dynamics, which can guide health policy measures. [-]
Is part of
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals Volume 175, Part 1, October 2023Funder Name
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia | Generalitat Valenciana | Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación | Centro de Matemática Universidade do Porto | Agencia Estatal de Investigación
Project code
UIDB/00144/2020 | AICO/2019/198 | MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033, PID2019-107392RB-I00
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© 2023 Elsevier Ltd
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- MAT_Articles [769]